The Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO) provides technical and market data that informs the decision-making processes of market participants, new investors, and jurisdictional bodies as they assess opportunities in the National Electricity Market (NEM) over a 10-year outlook period.

2019 Electricity Statement of Opportunities in development

AEMO is currently consulting on the scenarios, inputs, assumptions, methodology, timeline and consultation process for a collection of Forecasting and Planning publications, including the 2019 NEM ESOO.

• 2019 Planning and Forecasting Consultation

2018 Electricity Statement of Opportunities

The 2018 ESOO provides a projected outlook to 2027–28 of supply adequacy under a number of scenarios, including:

• The impact of additional renewable generation in response to Australia’s federal and state renewable energy targets, and
• Potential generation outage events that may challenge reliability of supply.

The 2018 ESOO was prepared by AEMO using information available at 31 July 2018. Information made available after this date may have been included in this publication where practical.

• 2018 Electricity Statement of Opportunities (3 MB, pdf)

2018 NEM Electricity Statement of Opportunities - results

• 2018 ESOO Results – NSW (47 KB, xls)
• 2018 ESOO Results – QLD (46 KB, xls)
• 2018 ESOO Results – SA (47 KB, xls)
• 2018 ESOO Results – TAS (46 KB, xls)
• 2018 ESOO Results – VIC (47 KB, xls)

2018 ESOO Consultancy reports

• Energy Efficiency Impacts on Electricity and Gas Demand to 2037-38 by Strategy Policy Research (1.4 MB, pdf)
• Projections for Small-Scale Embedded Technologies Report by CSIRO (2.9 MB, pdf)
• Projections of Gas and Electricity used in LNG – Lewis Grey Advisory (3.4 MB, pdf)

2018 ESOO Data and Methodology

• 2018 NEM ESOO Model and Data Set Instructions (386 KB, pdf)
• Electricity Demand Forecasting Methodology Information Paper (2.3 MB, pdf)
• NEM Demand Forecasting Methodology - Final Report and Determination (443 KB, pdf)
• To view demand forecasts by region, see: AEMO's forecasting data portal
  • Guide to using the AEMO Forecasting data portal (910 KB, pdf)
• AEMO's Forecasting demand definitions (404 KB, pdf)